Each month since 1976, Blue Chip Economic Indicators has polled America's top business economists, collecting their forecasts of U.S. economic growth, inflation, interest rates, and a host of other critical indicators of future business activity. Our 40+ year track record of providing corporate and government decision-makers with our survey results has made Blue Chip Economic Indicators synonymous with the latest in expert opinion on the future performance of the American economy.
Each issue of this 16-page newsletter, which is available on VitalLaw, Wolters Kluwer's digital research platform, along with an email alert to the latest issue, includes forecasts from 50-plus economists employed by some of America's largest and most respected manufacturers, banks, insurance companies, and brokerage firms.
Frequently cited by such national media outlets as USA Today, The New York Times, The Economist, and U.S. News and World Report, Blue Chip Economic Indicators provides forecasts for this year and next from each panel member, plus and average, or consensus, of their forecasts for each variable:
- Real GDP
- GDP price index
- Nominal GDP
- Consumer price index
- Industrial production
- Real disposable personal income
- Real personal consumption expenditures
- Real non-residential fixed investment
- Pre-tax corporate profits
- 3-mo. Treasury bill rate
- 10-yr. Treasury note yield
- Unemployment rate
- Total housing starts
- Total vehicle sales
- Real Net exports
Each forecaster's prediction is published along with the average, or consensus forecast, for each variable. There are also averages of the 10 highest and 10 lowest forecasts for each variable; a median forecast to eliminate the effects of extreme forecasts on the consensus; the number of forecasts raised, lowered, or left unchanged from a month ago; and a diffusion index that indicates shifts in sentiment that sometimes occur prior to changes in the consensus forecast.
Archives of all issues going back to 1976 are also available.
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Joseph Aguinaldo
Executive Editor
Jules Valencia
Assistant Editor
Sandy Batten
Contributing Editor
Andy Cates
Contributing Editor
Kathleen Stephansen
Contributing Editor
Michael Moran
Contributing Editor
Randell E. Moore
Editor Emeritus
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